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BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number  16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP122020
300 AM MDT Thu Aug 20 2020
 
...GENEVIEVE EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD SOON...
...HURRICANE-FORCE GUSTS AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 110.4W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Southern Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to Todos
Santos
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of the Baja California peninsula from north of
Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The east coast of the Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles
to La Paz
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next
12 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours. Tropical storm conditions are already occurring
along the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, especially
over higher terrain.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36
hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 110.4 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A turn
toward the northwest is expected later this morning, with that
motion continuing through Saturday.  On the forecast track, the
center of Genevieve is expected to pass just to the southwest and
west of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula today,
and move away from the peninsula on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to  near 80 mph (130 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Further gradual weakening is expected today and 
through the weekend.  However, Genevieve is forecast to remain a 
hurricane through today while it passes just to the southwest 
and west of the southern Baja California peninsula.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).  A gust to 90 mph (145 km/h) was recently reported in 
Cabo San Lucas Marina, Baja California Sur.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions will continue for the next several 
hours in the warning area.  Tropical storm conditions will spread 
northward within the warning area in the southern Baja California 
peninsula through today.  Tropical storm conditions are possible 
within the watch area later this morning, especially over higher 
terrain.
 
RAINFALL:  Genevieve is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 
8 inches with isolated totals of 12 inches across portions of far 
southern Baja California Sur. This rainfall may lead to 
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.

SURF:  Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of
the west-central coast of Mexico and are spreading northward along
the coast of the Baja California peninsula.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Roberts
 
NNNN