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Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP122020
900 PM MDT Mon Aug 17 2020
 
...CATEGORY 2 GENEVIEVE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN INTO A MAJOR 
HURRICANE ON TUESDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 106.0W
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 510 MI...820 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Southern Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to Todos
Santos
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 106.0 West. Genevieve 
is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this 
general motion is expected to continue through early Tuesday.  A 
turn to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is forecast 
to occur by Tuesday afternoon and continue through at least early 
Thursday.  On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is 
expected to move parallel to but well offshore the coast of 
southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. The center of the 
hurricane is forecast to move to the southwest of the southern 
portion of the Baja California peninsula on Wednesday night and 
Thursday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Rapid strengthening is forecast to continue
during the next 24 to 36 hours, and Genevieve is expected to become 
a major hurricane on Tuesday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
in the southern Baja California peninsula by Wednesday afternoon,
especially over higher terrain.
 
SURF:  Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of
the southern coast of Mexico and will spread northward along the
southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico to the Baja California
peninsula through Wednesday.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Stewart
 
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