ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Genevieve Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122020 400 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020 ...GENEVIEVE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY... ...RAPID STRENGTHENING EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 101.7W ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of Genevieve. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Genevieve was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 101.7 West. Genevieve is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. A northwestward motion with a gradual reduction in forward speed is expected to begin on Tuesday and continue through at least early Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is expected to move parallel to but well offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is anticipated during the next couple of days, and Genevieve is forecast to become a hurricane later today and a major hurricane by Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells produced by Genevieve will begin affecting portions of the southern coast of Mexico today and will spread northward along the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico to the Baja California peninsula through Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg NNNN
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