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HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122020
1500 UTC THU AUG 20 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA 
FROM LOS BARRILES TO TODOS SANTOS HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL 
STORM WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO CABO SAN LAZARO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES
TO LA PAZ
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE ALREADY BEEN OCCURRING 
ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SINCE LAST 
NIGHT...AND THESE CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE 
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 111.4W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  90SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 111.4W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 111.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 24.1N 112.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 25.3N 114.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 26.6N 115.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 27.8N 117.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.8N 119.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.7N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 31.1N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 111.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 20/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO
 
 
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