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HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122020
0300 UTC WED AUG 19 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO PUERTO
CORTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES
TO LA PAZ
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO
CORTES TO CABO SAN LAZARO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 109.0W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 109.0W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.5N 109.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 21.5N 110.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 22.4N 111.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.1N 112.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.0N 113.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 25.1N 115.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 27.5N 118.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.5N 121.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 109.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 19/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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