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HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122020
0900 UTC TUE AUG 18 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO TODOS
SANTOS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES
TO LA PAZ...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM TODOS SANTOS TO SANTA FE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO TODOS
SANTOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES
TO LA PAZ
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM TODOS SANTOS
TO SANTA FE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 107.1W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 107.1W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.5N 108.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 19.7N 110.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.9N 111.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 21.9N 111.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 23.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 23.9N 114.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 26.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 28.5N 121.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 107.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 18/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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