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TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122020
0900 UTC MON AUG 17 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 101.7W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 101.7W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 101.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.4N 104.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.0N 106.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.4N 108.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.7N 110.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.0N 111.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 21.3N 112.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 23.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 25.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 101.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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