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TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122020
2100 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  99.2W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  99.2W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  98.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.9N 101.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.3N 104.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.7N 107.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.2N 109.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.6N 110.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.2N 112.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 22.5N 115.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 24.7N 119.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N  99.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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