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Post-Tropical Cyclone Fausto Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112020
800 AM PDT Mon Aug 17 2020
 
Fausto has been absent of deep convection for about 12 hours, and 
with the system over SSTs below 23 degrees Celsius, it is unlikely 
organized deep convection will return.  Therefore, Fausto has 
become a remnant low, and this will be the final NHC advisory on 
this system.  The initial wind speed has been set at 25 kt, which 
is a blend of the TAFB Dvorak T- and CI-numbers.  The low should 
continue to spin down over cooler waters over the next day or so, 
and the global models indicate it will dissipate by Wednesday 
morning. 

The initial motion estimate is now westward or 280/11 kt.  The 
remnant low should turn west-southwestward on Tuesday while it 
continues to weaken and comes under the influence of the 
low-level trade wind flow.  The track guidance remains in good 
agreement, and the NHC forecast is close to the multi-model 
consensus. 

This is the last NHC advisory on Fausto.  For additional 
information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts 
issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header 
NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web 
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  17/1500Z 23.4N 125.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  18/0000Z 23.8N 127.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  18/1200Z 23.8N 130.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  19/0000Z 23.4N 132.6W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 
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