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Hurricane ELIDA (Text)


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HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092020
1500 UTC TUE AUG 11 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 113.8W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 113.8W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 113.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.1N 118.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.9N 119.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  45SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 24.8N 120.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.8N 121.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 27.0N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 113.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Wednesday, 21-Oct-2020 12:11:54 UTC