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Hurricane DOUGLAS


ZCZC HFOPWSCP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE DOUGLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25               
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082020         
1500 UTC SUN JUL 26 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 154W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
21N 156W       34 97   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
21N 156W       50 79   1(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
21N 156W       64 32   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAHULUI        34 84   2(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
KAHULUI        50 37   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
KAHULUI        64  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
21N 158W       34  6  43(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
21N 158W       50  1   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  1  62(63)  14(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
BARKING SANDS  50  X  17(17)  11(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
HANA           34 89   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
HANA           50 41   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
HANA           64  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
LANAI CITY     34 55   8(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
LANAI CITY     50 10   6(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
LANAI CITY     64  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34 73  15(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
KAUNAKAKAI     50 22  26(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
KAUNAKAKAI     64  3   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
HONOLULU       34 12  66(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
HONOLULU       50  1  32(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
HONOLULU       64  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34 12  66(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
JOINT BASE PHH 50  1  33(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
JOINT BASE PHH 64  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LIHUE          34  1  76(77)   3(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
LIHUE          50  X  31(31)   4(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
LIHUE          64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
20N 160W       34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
25N 160W       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NIIHAU         34  1  41(42)  22(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
NIIHAU         50  X   7( 7)  11(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
21N 160W       34  1  10(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
NIHOA          34  X   2( 2)  59(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
NIHOA          50  X   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BUOY 51101     34  X   1( 1)  12(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
22N 164W       34  X   X( X)  11(11)  17(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
22N 164W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NECKER         34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  35(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
NECKER         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
25N 165W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  27(28)   6(34)   X(34)   X(34)
FR FRIG SHOALS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GARDNER PINN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
25N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
MARO REEF      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   X(11)
 
LAYSAN         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
LISIANSKI      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BIRCHARD                                                 
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