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HURRICANE DOUGLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082020
2100 UTC FRI JUL 24 2020
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 145W 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 150W 34 X 47(47) 40(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
20N 150W 50 X 8( 8) 45(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
20N 150W 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 151W 34 X 13(13) 75(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
20N 151W 50 X 2( 2) 55(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
20N 151W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BUOY 51004 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) 17(17) 47(64) 3(67) X(67) X(67)
20N 154W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29)
20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
HILO 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 34(39) 6(45) X(45) X(45)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 12(27) X(27) X(27)
BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 29(62) X(62) X(62)
21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) X(21) X(21)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 15(37) X(37) X(37)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 34(57) X(57) X(57)
KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) X(17) X(17)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 38(43) 1(44) X(44)
21N 158W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) 3(35) X(35)
BARKING SANDS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
HANA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 26(59) X(59) X(59)
HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 14(20) X(20) X(20)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 36(50) 1(51) X(51)
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 41(52) 1(53) X(53)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 42(47) 1(48) X(48)
HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 42(47) 1(48) X(48)
JOINT BASE PHH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12)
26N 159W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) 2(38) X(38)
LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 2(20) X(20)
25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 5(35) X(35)
NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 3(32) X(32)
21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) X(21)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 1(23)
NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 1(18)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10)
25N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17)
GARDNER PINN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10)
20N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
25N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
MARO REEF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
LAYSAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
LISIANSKI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
NNNN
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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2020 12:11:15 UTC