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Hurricane DOUGLAS


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE DOUGLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082020               
1500 UTC WED JUL 22 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 135W       34  X   2( 2)  21(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  52(53)   6(59)   X(59)   X(59)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)   6(30)   X(30)   X(30)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   3(13)   X(13)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   1(22)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   3(22)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   7(20)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  14(22)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  17(22)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)
BRADSHAW AAF   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
 
21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
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