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TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082020
1500 UTC TUE JUL 21 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 124.2W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 124.2W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 123.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.1N 126.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.1N 128.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 12.6N 131.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.6N 133.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.9N 136.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.1N 139.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 18.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.5N 151.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 124.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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