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Tropical Storm Cristina Discussion Number  25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052020
200 PM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020
 
Cristina has been devoid of deep convection for several hours. The 
cyclone's circulation now consists of a large swirl of low- to 
mid-level clouds as it continues to move over waters of about 23 C 
and into a progressively drier and more stable surrounding 
atmosphere. Although intensity estimates continue to steadily 
decease, the vortex is taking some additional time to spin down, as 
indicated by a recent ASCAT-A overpass that showed maximum winds of 
35 kt over a portion of the cyclone. Based on the ASCAT data, 
Cristina's intensity is being maintained at 35 kt for this advisory.
 
Given the environmental conditions, it is unlikely that deep
convection will redevelop near Cristina's center, and the cyclone
is expected to become a remnant low soon. The associated winds will
continue to decrease over the next couple of days and the low is
forecast to open into a trough within a few days. Cristina is
moving westward at 11 kt and this general motion is expected to
continue until dissipation, as the system is steered by the low
level easterlies.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  12/2100Z 20.7N 125.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  13/0600Z 21.0N 127.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  13/1800Z 21.4N 129.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  14/0600Z 22.0N 132.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  14/1800Z 22.5N 135.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  15/0600Z 23.0N 137.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
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Forecaster Latto
 
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