ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE IOTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL312020
0900 UTC MON NOV 16 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PROVIDENCIA
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO
SANDY BAY SIRPI
* THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF SANDY BAY SIRPI TO BLUEFIELDS
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA PATUCA TO PUNTA
CASTILLA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN NICARAGUA AND
HONDURAS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE
ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED ON PROVIDENCIA AND SAN ANDRES ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IOTA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  81.1W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  933 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  81.1W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  80.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.8N  82.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.1N  83.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.3N  85.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.3N  86.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.1N  88.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 13.8N  89.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  81.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 16/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN