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HURRICANE IOTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL312020
0900 UTC SUN NOV 15 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PROVIDENCIA
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO
SANDY BAY SIRPI
* THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF SANDY BAY SIRPI TO BLUEFIELDS
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA PATUCA TO PUNTA
CASTILLA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE 
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE 
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IOTA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  77.3W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  45SE  45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  77.3W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  77.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.4N  78.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.7N  80.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.1N  81.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.3N  83.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.3N  84.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.2N  85.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  40SE   0SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 13.9N  88.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N  77.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 15/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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