ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM IOTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL312020
2100 UTC SAT NOV 14 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE ISLAND OF PROVIDENCIA...AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ISLAND OF
SAN ANDRES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PROVIDENCIA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO
SANDY BAY SIRPI
* THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
* SAN ANDRES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA PATUCA TO PUNTA
CASTILLA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IOTA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  76.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  76.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  76.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 12.7N  77.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.0N  78.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.4N  80.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.8N  82.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.0N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.0N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 13.6N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  76.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 15/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN