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TROPICAL STORM IOTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL312020
2100 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF
THAT AREA TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  74.3W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  74.3W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  74.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 13.7N  75.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.7N  76.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 13.9N  77.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.2N  79.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.6N  81.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.0N  82.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 15.2N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 14.7N  88.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  74.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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