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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTY-ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL312020
1500 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF
THAT AREA TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  74.3W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  74.3W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  74.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.8N  76.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.9N  77.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.1N  79.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.5N  80.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.9N  82.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 15.2N  85.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 14.7N  88.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  74.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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