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TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL302020
0300 UTC SAT NOV 14 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  21.6W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 120SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 420SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  21.6W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  22.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.8N  20.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.6N  18.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.7N  17.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.3N  17.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 33.7N  17.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.9N  16.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N  21.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/CANGIALOSI
 
 
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