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TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL302020
1500 UTC FRI NOV 13 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  23.8W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 150SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 480SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  23.8W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  24.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.5N  22.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.3N  20.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.0N  19.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.1N  18.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 31.3N  18.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 32.8N  18.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 37.4N  15.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  23.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO
 
 
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