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TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL302020
0300 UTC THU NOV 12 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  31.4W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE 120SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 330SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  31.4W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  31.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 31.5N  29.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 32.0N  27.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.1N  25.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.8N  23.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.4N  21.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.2N  20.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 31.2N  19.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 35.6N  18.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N  31.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN/ZELINSKY
 
 
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