NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER

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SUBTROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL302020
0300 UTC TUE NOV 10 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  40.3W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  70SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  40.3W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  41.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 29.0N  38.6W...SUBTROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  80SE 130SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.1N  36.3W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE 130SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.5N  34.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.0N  32.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  25SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.5N  30.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.0N  28.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 110SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 32.2N  24.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 33.3N  20.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N  40.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN/BROWN
 
 
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