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HURRICANE ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020
1500 UTC WED NOV 11 2020
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS
...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KINGS BAY GA 34 3 15(18) 16(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 9( 9) 6(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 3 23(26) 23(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
JACKSONVILLE 34 1 20(21) 23(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 2 53(55) 15(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X 18(18) 12(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 2 35(37) 19(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
THE VILLAGES 34 7 65(72) 9(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
THE VILLAGES 50 X 31(31) 8(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
THE VILLAGES 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ORLANDO FL 34 4 40(44) 9(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
ORLANDO FL 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 5 22(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
PATRICK AFB 34 5 22(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
FT PIERCE FL 34 4 10(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
W PALM BEACH 34 4 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MIAMI FL 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MARATHON FL 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
KEY WEST FL 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NAPLES FL 34 20 3(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
FT MYERS FL 34 20 5(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
VENICE FL 34 93 2(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
VENICE FL 50 32 2(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
VENICE FL 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
TAMPA FL 34 84 12(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
TAMPA FL 50 28 33(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
TAMPA FL 64 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 22 54(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 1 31(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ST MARKS FL 34 1 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
APALACHICOLA 34 3 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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