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Hurricane ETA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8                   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020               
1500 UTC MON NOV 02 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS
...110 MPH...175 KM/H.                                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
 
BELIZE CITY    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   8( 9)  12(21)   1(22)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   5( 9)  10(19)   1(20)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
PUERTO BARRIOS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
GUANAJA        34  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   4(11)  11(22)   8(30)   1(31)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   1(13)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)
 
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 50  41(91)   4(95)   2(97)   X(97)   1(98)   X(98)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50  5  54(59)  12(71)   4(75)   2(77)   X(77)   X(77)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64  3  33(36)  13(49)   4(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 
BLUEFIELDS     34  1   4( 5)  11(16)   4(20)   3(23)   1(24)   1(25)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
SAN ANDRES     34  3   8(11)   9(20)   3(23)   2(25)   1(26)   X(26)
SAN ANDRES     50  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
SAN ANDRES     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
LIMON          34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
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