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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eta Intermediate Advisory Number 25A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL292020
600 PM CST Fri Nov 06 2020
 
...DISORGANIZED ETA MOVING NORTHEASTWARD...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND
CUBA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 600 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...17.7N 85.8W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM WSW OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cayman Islands
* The Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus,
Villa Clara, Cienfuegos, and Matanzas.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The Cuban provinces of La Habana, Artemisa y Mayabeque, Pinar del
Rio, and the Isle of Youth.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
The governments of Nicaragua and Honduras continue to issue warnings
for heavy rain and flooding in those countries, and interests in
those areas should continue to monitor the depression.
 
Interests elsewhere in Cuba, the northwestern Bahamas, the Florida
Keys, and southern Florida should monitor the progress of this
system as Tropical Storm or Hurricane Watches could be required for
some of these areas tonight.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 600 PM CST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eta was
located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 85.8 West. The
depression is moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A
northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected through
early Sunday. A turn toward the north and northwest are expected
late Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Eta will move
across the northwestern Caribbean Sea tonight, approach the Cayman
Islands Saturday, be near central Cuba Saturday night and Sunday,
and approach the Florida Keys or south Florida late Sunday.
 
Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.  Eta is
forecast to become a tropical storm again tonight, with further
strengthening likely through early Sunday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Eta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and on the
web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.
 
RAINFALL:  Eta is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts
through Wednesday morning:
 
Portions of Central America: An additional 2 to 5 inches (50 to 125
mm), isolated maximum storm totals of 40 inches (1000 mm) in eastern
Honduras and eastern Nicaragua.
 
Southeastern Mexico and Jamaica: An additional 2 to 5 inches (50 to
125 mm), isolated maximum storm totals of 15 inches (380 mm).
 
The Cayman Islands into portions of Cuba: 8 to 16 inches (200 to 400
mm), isolated maximum totals of 25 inches (650 mm).
 
The Bahamas and Southern Florida, including the Keys:  5 to 10
inches (125 to 255 mm), isolated maximum totals of 15 inches (380
mm).
 
The threat of life-threatening flooding will continue across
portions of Central America, along with landslides in areas of
higher terrain.  Significant, life-threatening flash flooding and
river flooding is possible in the Cayman Islands and Cuba. Flash
flooding and urban flooding is also possible for Jamaica, southeast
Mexico, the Bahamas and Southern Florida.
 
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the coast of
Cuba near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.  Near
the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive
waves.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands
Saturday afternoon and evening.  Tropical storm conditions are
expected in the warning area in Cuba Saturday night and Sunday, and
they are possible in the watch area in Cuba Saturday night and
Sunday.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Eta are expected to spread northeastward
and affect the Cayman Islands, Jamaica, and the southern coast of
Cuba during the next couple of days.  These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 
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