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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0300 UTC WED NOV 11 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM
BONITA BEACH TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY AND 
CHARLOTTE HARBOR. 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA GULF COAST
FROM NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO THE AUCILLA RIVER.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DRY TORTUGAS
* BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BONITA BEACH TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA...INCLUDING TAMPA 
BAY AND CHARLOTTE HARBOR
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...MAYABEQUE...PINAR
DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH
* NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO AUCILLA RIVER FLORIDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF ETA.  ADDITIONAL WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST EARLY WEDNESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  84.5W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  84.5W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  84.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.0N  84.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N  84.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.7N  83.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 28.8N  83.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 29.7N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.3N  82.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 30.8N  82.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  84.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 11/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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