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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
2100 UTC SAT NOV 07 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA 
FROM BONITA BEACH TO GOLDEN BEACH...INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY...AND FOR 
THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING 
FLORIDA BAY. 

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA 
FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO BONITA BEACH...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM 
OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO 
JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND WEST OF CHOKOLOSKEE FLORIDA TO BONITA 
BEACH FLORIDA...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH TO BONITA BEACH...INCLUDING
BISCAYNE BAY
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING 
FLORIDA BAY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA COAST FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO BONITA BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS
ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA
ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE
* FLORIDA COAST FROM JUPITER INLET TO BONITA BEACH...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...MAYABEQUE...PINAR
DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH
* FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO THE BREVARD/VOLUSIA
COUNTY LINE
* FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.   A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE 
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... 
CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE AREAS LATER
TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  80.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  90SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  80.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  81.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.6N  79.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.3N  79.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.7N  79.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.2N  81.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.7N  82.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.1N  83.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N  84.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N  80.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 08/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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