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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0900 UTC SAT NOV 07 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO SEBASTIAN INLET.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS.
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS
ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA
ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA Y MAYABEQUE...PINAR
DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
* SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA KEYS
* FLORIDA BAY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE AREAS LATER
TODAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  84.9W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  84.9W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  85.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.3N  82.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.7N  80.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.6N  80.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.8N  80.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.9N  81.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.5N  83.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 26.0N  84.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 27.3N  85.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  84.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 07/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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