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Tropical Depression ETA


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0300 UTC SAT NOV 07 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF SOUTH
FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST AND FROM
BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA Y MAYABEQUE...PINAR
DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA KEYS
* FLORIDA BAY
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS CONTINUE TO ISSUE WARNINGS
FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING IN THOSE COUNTRIES...AND INTERESTS IN
THOSE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE DEPRESSION.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE AREAS ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  85.2W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  85.2W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  85.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.0N  83.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.3N  81.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.9N  79.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.0N  79.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N  81.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.2N  82.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 26.0N  84.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 27.0N  84.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  85.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 07/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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