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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0900 UTC THU NOV 05 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS CONTINUE TO ISSUE
WARNINGS ON HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING IN THOSE COUNTRIES...AND
INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  INTERESTS IN BELIZE...WESTERN CUBA...AND
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  87.0W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  70 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  87.0W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  86.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.0N  87.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.2N  87.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.4N  86.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.5N  84.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.6N  82.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 23.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 24.5N  81.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  87.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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