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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
2100 UTC WED NOV 04 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
ALTHOUGH THE COASTAL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED...THE
GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS CONTINUE TO ISSUE WARNINGS ON
HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING IN THOSE COUNTRIES...AND INTERESTS IN
NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.  INTERESTS IN BELIZE...WESTERN CUBA...AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  85.7W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  85.7W AT 04/2100Z...INLAND
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  85.3W...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.2N  86.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.1N  87.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.5N  87.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.7N  86.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.8N  84.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.5N  82.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 24.0N  80.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 25.5N  82.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  85.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 05/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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