ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
2100 UTC SAT OCT 31 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF 
THE DEPRESSION.  HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE 
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTRIES LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY 
SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  73.2W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  73.2W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  72.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.1N  75.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.4N  78.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.5N  80.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.1N  82.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.3N  83.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.8N  83.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE  70SE  70SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 13.5N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 14.0N  86.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  73.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
NNNN