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TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL282020
1500 UTC MON OCT 26 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TULUM TO DZILAM MEXICO
* COZUMEL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PINAR DEL RIO CUBA
* SOUTH OF TULUM TO PUNTA ALLEN
* WEST OF DZILAM TO PROGRESO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  85.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  85.3W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  84.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N  86.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.5N  88.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N  90.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.7N  91.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 28.9N  90.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 33.0N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 40.0N  73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N  85.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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