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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL282020
0300 UTC SUN OCT 25 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO RIO LAGARTOS...INCLUDING COZUMEL.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PINAR DEL RIO CUBA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TULUM TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO
* COZUMEL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  83.1W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  83.1W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  83.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.2N  83.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.0N  83.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.7N  84.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.7N  86.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 23.2N  88.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 25.4N  90.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 31.5N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  83.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 25/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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