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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL282020
2100 UTC SAT OCT 24 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PINAR DEL RIO CUBA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF 
THE DEPRESSION.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  83.0W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  83.0W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  83.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.0N  83.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.1N  84.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.9N  85.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 22.0N  87.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 23.4N  89.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 27.5N  91.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 35.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  83.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 25/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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