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HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
2100 UTC THU OCT 22 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  61.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE 120SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 360SE 560SW 510NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  61.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  61.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 33.0N  61.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.8N  61.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...220NE 210SE 140SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 36.8N  61.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...250NE 240SE 170SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 39.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  10NW.
50 KT...100NE 130SE 120SW  70NW.
34 KT...250NE 260SE 210SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 42.2N  53.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE 110SW  30NW.
34 KT...240NE 310SE 280SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 46.5N  45.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 140SE 140SW  30NW.
34 KT...320NE 360SE 360SW 270NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N  61.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 23/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PAPIN
 
 
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