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HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
2100 UTC WED OCT 21 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  60.0W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......390NE 120SE 120SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..720NE 360SE 450SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  60.0W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  59.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 30.5N  60.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...330NE 150SE 130SW 260NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.8N  61.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...270NE 180SE 140SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 33.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 150SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 34.4N  62.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...260NE 200SE 150SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 36.2N  61.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...270NE 220SE 170SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 38.3N  59.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 44.5N  47.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 54.0N  28.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  60.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 22/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/BLAKE
 
 
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