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HURRICANE EPSILON SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
1800 UTC WED OCT 21 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  59.7W AT 21/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......380NE  80SE  50SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..750NE 390SE 510SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  59.7W AT 21/1800Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  58.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.6N  60.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...300NE 110SE  80SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.9N  60.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 160SE 100SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 32.3N  61.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 160SE 100SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.7N  61.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE 180SE 120SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 35.0N  61.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...270NE 210SE 150SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 36.6N  60.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 42.0N  51.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 49.5N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N  59.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/BLAKE
 
 
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