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HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
0300 UTC WED OCT 21 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  56.8W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......300NE  90SE  50SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..800NE 360SE 520SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  56.8W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  56.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.2N  58.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...300NE 100SE  60SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.9N  59.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...250NE 120SE  80SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 31.0N  60.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...230NE 130SE  90SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 32.2N  61.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  90SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.5N  61.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 100SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 34.6N  62.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...220NE 150SE 120SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 38.4N  58.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 44.0N  45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N  56.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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