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TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
0300 UTC TUE OCT 20 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EPSILON.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  55.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......240NE  60SE    0SW  240NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE  60SE  240SW  480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  55.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  55.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.1N  55.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...250NE  90SE   0SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.5N  56.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...270NE 100SE  40SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 28.3N  58.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...270NE 110SE  60SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.1N  59.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  70NW.
34 KT...210NE 100SE  80SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.4N  60.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.3N  61.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 32.9N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 36.4N  60.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  55.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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