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TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
1500 UTC MON OCT 19 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  55.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE  60SE   0SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  55.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  55.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.8N  55.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.4N  55.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  40SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.6N  56.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE  90SE  40SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 28.3N  58.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE  90SE  60SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.1N  59.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE 100SE  80SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.2N  60.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE 120SE  90SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 32.3N  62.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 34.5N  63.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N  55.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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