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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL272020
1200 UTC MON OCT 19 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  55.5W AT 19/1200Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  55.5W AT 19/1200Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  55.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.8N  55.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 26.0N  55.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.9N  55.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  40SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.0N  57.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  40SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.6N  59.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE  90SE  60SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.5N  60.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE  90SE  90SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 31.7N  62.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 33.5N  63.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N  55.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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