ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
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HURRICANE DELTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL262020
0900 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DELTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOBILE AL 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GULFPORT MS 34 1 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
STENNIS MS 34 1 17(18) 1(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
BURAS LA 34 1 11(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
JACKSON MS 34 1 24(25) 17(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
JACKSON MS 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 2 39(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 42 3(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 5 80(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 X 16(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
BATON ROUGE LA 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 22 62(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MORGAN CITY LA 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 3 88(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X 43(43) 3(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 33 66(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LAFAYETTE LA 50 1 59(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
LAFAYETTE LA 64 X 27(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 48 50(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 1 46(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
NEW IBERIA LA 64 X 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 94 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
GFMX 280N 930W 64 77 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
FORT POLK LA 34 4 81(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
FORT POLK LA 50 X 29(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
FORT POLK LA 64 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LAKE CHARLES 34 56 41(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
LAKE CHARLES 50 2 65(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
LAKE CHARLES 64 X 26(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
CAMERON LA 34 93 6(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAMERON LA 50 14 66(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
CAMERON LA 64 2 42(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
JASPER TX 34 3 50(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
JASPER TX 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KOUNTZE TX 34 14 38(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
KOUNTZE TX 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 54 28(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 2 16(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 60 2(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
GALVESTON TX 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HOUSTON TX 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
AUSTIN TX 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FREEPORT TX 34 9 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 66 X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 63 6(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MATAGORDA TX 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PORT O CONNOR 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KEESLER AB 34 2 6( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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