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HURRICANE DELTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL262020
0900 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
TO BAY ST. LOUIS MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM OCEAN SPRINGS...MS
TO MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER...LA INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND
LAKE MAUREPAS
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER LOUISIANA INCLUDING
CALCASIEU LAKE...VERMILION BAY...AND LAKE BORGNE
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF HIGH ISLAND TO SARGENT TEXAS
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
FOR A DEPICTION
OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM
SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS
A
LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM
RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.
PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  93.7W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  93.7W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  93.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 28.6N  93.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 31.1N  92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 32.9N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 34.2N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 35.6N  87.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N  93.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 09/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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