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Hurricane DELTA


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HURRICANE DELTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL262020
2100 UTC TUE OCT 06 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH 
FOR THE PROVINCE OF LA HABANA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TULUM TO DZILAM MEXICO
* COZUMEL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBA PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO
* ISLE OF YOUTH
* PUNTA HERRERO TO TULUM MEXICO
* DZILAM TO PROGRESSO MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR 
THE PROGRESS OF DELTA.  HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES WILL 
LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA ON WEDNESDAY. 

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  84.1W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  84.1W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  83.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.2N  86.1W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.8N  88.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.0N  91.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.4N  92.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 25.9N  93.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 28.0N  92.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 32.4N  90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 35.5N  87.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  84.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 07/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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