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Hurricane DELTA (Text)


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE DELTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL262020
0300 UTC TUE OCT 06 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO AND
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PROVINCE OF ARTMESIA AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
PUNTA HERRERO NORTHWARD TO TULUM AND FROM RIO LAGARTOS WESTWARD TO
PROGRESSO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TULUM TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO
* COZUMEL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAYMAN ISLANDS INCLUDING LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC
* CUBA PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO
* ISLE OF YOUTH
* PUNTA HERRERO TO TULUM
* RIO LAGARTOS TO PROGRESSO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBA PROVINCE OF LA HABANA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  80.3W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  80.3W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  79.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.1N  82.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.8N  84.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N  87.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 23.0N  89.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.0N  90.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.2N  91.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.6N  91.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 33.6N  88.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  80.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 06/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2020 12:10:25 UTC