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TROPICAL STORM GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL252020
0900 UTC SUN OCT 04 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING SOUTH OF CANCUN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH AND WEST OF CANCUN TO DZILAM MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF DZILAM TO PROGRESO MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  88.2W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  88.2W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  88.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.6N  88.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.7N  88.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.4N  89.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N  90.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.5N  90.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.0N  91.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 20.4N  92.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.4N  93.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  88.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 04/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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