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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL252020
2100 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA HERRERO TO CABO CATOCHE MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF PUNTA HERRERO TO PUERTO COSTA MAYA MEXICO
* WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO DZILAM MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  85.3W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  85.3W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  85.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.5N  86.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.6N  87.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.3N  87.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.5N  88.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N  88.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N  91.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  85.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 03/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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